Louisiana Keeping An Eye On A Possible Gulf Disturbance
LAKE CHARLES, LOUISIAIA: Louisiana residents will be keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico between the Yucatan peninsula and Cuba over the next week as the National Hurricane Center (NHS) predicts the development of a disturbance forming.
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles is saying that the low pressure area of interest has a 40% chance of forming in 7 days.
Gulf weather expert Meteorologist Zack Fradella says that the chances of formation just keep going up as time passes:
Meteorologist Rob Perillo posted this on his X account. The information is older than I usually like to include in my articles, but he has some model runs of the potential storm forming in the Gulf next week:
You can see the GFS model that he ran for the potential storm has the disturbance heading toward the panhandle of Florida by Wednesday of next week. I've seen other meteorologists say that the storm would likely head to the eastern Gulf states making landfall. However, I don't trust them as much as Zack and Rob.
The other caveat to this GFS model run is that the storm hasn't formed yet and there's no eye for the models to lock on to. So, this model run is just taking into account wind patterns, possible high-pressure fronts, and other factors that have yet to happen because they are in the future.
We won't truly know what will happen with this possible Gulf disturbance until sometime at the beginning of next week. So, there's nothing to worry about at this time for Louisiana residents, however, it's peak hurricane season so anything can happen. We have to keep are eyes peeled on the Gulf and the Atlantic until hurricane season is officially over November 30th.
Essential Items for Your Hurricane Kit