Right now, forecasters are watching a trough of low pressure over the western Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center will monitor that system for the possibility of further development by late-weekend as it approaches the southern Gulf of Mexico.

Right now, forecasters are giving this trough of low pressure a 20% chance of tropical development over the next 5 days. As with all of the tropical activity this year, increased wind shear in the upper levels of the atmosphere will interact, likely disrupting any significant further tropical development.

The good news is that this will only minimally organize early next week with a possible landfall somewhere over the eastern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week likely as just a big rainmaker for locations in its path.